Showing posts with label David Cameron. Show all posts
Showing posts with label David Cameron. Show all posts

Monday, 7 June 2010

EUR/GBP Rate & Comments for 7th June 2010

EUR/GBP - 1.207

Sterling fell on Friday against the US dollar but hit a 1 ½ year high against the euro as a worse than expected rise in US employment figures pointed towards a slower than expected US recovery. With Europe in the midst of a debt crisis and China looking to curb spiralling growth, many analysts were hoping that the USA could provide the driving engine of a global recovery. However, with the number of new jobs falling 100,000 short of what was expected, many analysts feel that this opens the door to a double dip recession and fresh round of risk aversion and a flight to US dollar denominated assets. Over the weekend, news was released that David Cameron is to state that the UK economy is in a far worse state than he had initially thought. With £6bn worth of cuts already announced, this is a drop in the ocean compared to the £156bn deficit. Following the Prime Minister’s statement later today, expect some volatility on the currency markets. In terms of data, there is little out aside from some yearly retail sales data. Ensure you do not lose out. Get in touch now for a live exchange rate.

In the euro zone, the region continues to suffer from poor sentiment related to the debt crisis and the euro fell to the lowest level for 4 years against the US dollar last week, dipping below $1.20/ 1. The single currency is also at the lowest level since 2001 against the Japanese yen. One survey of economists in the Daily Telegraph over the weekend suggested that the euro would be ‘dead’ within 5 years – or at the very least, certain countries would start pulling out of the currency as and when they default on loans. Out later today, there is German factory data which is expected to show a mild decline. Call in now for a live price.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Friday, 14 May 2010

EUR/GBP Rate & Comments for 14th May 2010

EUR/GBP - 1.165

Sterling fell yesterday against the US dollar and euro as the UK’s trade balance widened by more than expected. In March, the UK imported £6.3bn more than it exported and in April this gap increased by more than £1bn to £7.5bn. Exports remained steady and imports jumped, which disappointed the markets. Sterling is weak compared to most major currencies and the fact that this has not encouraged foreign investment into the UK is worrying, but also shows that global demand as a whole is weak. The ongoing saga in Greece could be blamed for a lack of demand for UK goods, but this is likely to continue as the Euro zone looks to curb spending and avoid debt default. Mervyn King hinted that the UK would benefit if Germany injected funds into the economy to encourage spending and ultimately boost UK exports. Elsewhere, the new government sent a clear message of its intentions to cut spending by cutting their own pay by 5% - frozen for 5 years. Whilst this saves roughly £3m (a drop in the ocean compared with the deficit) it is a clear message to the markets. So far, financial markets have welcomed the new coalition. Unfortunately, the pound is in a poor position. If the Greek crisis spreads further, we will effectively lose demand from a major marketplace for UK exporters. Out today we have no real data for the UK, but the currency traders will keep a close eye on David Cameron as he continues to forge ahead with plans for a ‘New Britain’. Call in now for a live exchange rate.

In the Euro zone, Portugal announced tough ‘austerity’ measures including tax hikes and pay cuts for public sector workers. The measures follow yesterday’s announcement by Spain of similar cuts which were met an angry response and threats of public sector strikes. The tough measures are the price that needs to be paid for the 750bn bail out that was announced over the weekend. There was little data out yesterday, but the euro rose against sterling as sentiment improved towards the Euro zone with European stock markets up nearly 8% this week having recovered losses. There is no data out today, so expect more of the same – trading on sentiment. Call in now to get a live rate.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Wednesday, 12 May 2010

EUR/GBP Rate & Comments for 12th May 2010

EUR/GBP - 1.182

Sterling rose yesterday as Gordon Brown tendered his resignation from office and David Cameron became our new Prime Minister, agreeing a coalition with the Liberal Democrats that sees them part of government for the first time in 70 years. After a volatile day, sterling recovered some of the losses against the US dollar that have seen the pound fall to a 13-month low as markets feared political uncertainty following the UK’s first hung parliament since 1974. There are concerns (as there always are with coalitions) that the deep rooted ideological differences between the two parties will lead to the dissolution of any agreement. However, with a rumoured 4 year ‘no-compete’ clause (i.e. an agreement from the Lib Dems that they will not vote against the Conservatives for 4 years) and the galvanising effect that tackling a record UK deficit will have, there is potential for this coalition to work. Although we shall have to wait and see, the initial reaction from the financial markets is good. The pound jumped to 1.18/ £1 and $1.49/ £1 on David Cameron’s appointment. What is next? The focus will now shift to the Conservative ‘emergency budget’ which is expected within 50 days and will outline the details of how the new government intend to deliver spending cuts of £6bn as a ‘down payment’ on the deficit within a year. Sterling was also boosted by unexpectedly strong manufacturing data. Out today we have unemployment data for the UK and the Bank of England’s inflation report. Call in now to take advantage of today’s jump in the value of sterling as it may not last long.

Following the bailout earlier in the week, the euro zone took a back seat yesterday as the UK election dominated the headlines. A piece of German inflation data showed a better than expected improvement. The big piece of data out today though is the first estimate of GDP for the 1st Quarter of 2010. This can have a large effect and is expected to show growth of 0.1%. Any higher than this and the euro is expected to react well. Get in touch now to take advantage of any movement.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

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